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S2096914 well done on JIN. Yes you are correct similar situation...

  1. 653 Posts.
    S2096914 well done on JIN. Yes you are correct similar situation with licence uncertainty. What I have now learnt is that with these types of uncertainties worst case is already priced in. By the time it becomes a certain thing, you miss the significant early gains.

    Facts on ONC

    Cash - $24m (explained this calc in previous posts)
    Market cap $32.4m
    Enterprise value $8.4m
    FY13 npat $3m

    With so much cash it would be unfair to value business on anything but enterprise value. However for the sake of being conservative let's make it a blend of both enterprise pe & market cap pe.

    Enterprise pe 2.8
    Market cap pe 10.8

    Add 2 together & divide by 2 you get blendid pe of 6.8
    Market avg pe is 12 X's

    So ONC is worth 76% more or 31.2c per share

    What do others think on how to value ONC?
 
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