TPD 0.00% 21.0¢ talon energy ltd

What is Talon worth?, page-158

  1. 4,787 Posts.
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    I'm not sure you have a position

    Guaranteeing versus being very very comfortable about something are very different positions.

    1. I can guarantee you that the Voice increases uncertainty
      • This is an objective fact
    2. Any corporate finance textbook / journal will tell you that uncertainty = risk = increased discount rate = reduction in valuation
    I can't help you understand 2, but hopefully you are able to learn it post fact from the movement of the market
    • If voice passes, uncertainty will increase
    • If voice fails, uncertainty will be removed

    If you are are not sure what uncertainty means, refer to the below.
    I am guessing you were also guaranteeing or being very very very comfortable that the Heritage Act wouldn't result in the below? Well it has, and this sought of uncertainty commands a risk premium in the eyes of the market

    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-07-23/cultural-heritage-act-takes-effect/102625444
 
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