If the Chinese Entity (“CE”) is looking to take this over...

  1. 1,562 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 327
    If the Chinese Entity (“CE”) is looking to take this over completely, it sets up an interesting scenario re the share price for loan conversion and the buyout offer for the remaining shares.

    The CE will end up paying the costs of the ‘major portion’ of the loan plus the remaining shares:

    i.e. Cost to CE = $X million [out of the $13.6m loan] + (X.Xc * # of remaining shares).

    For example, $10m + (2c * 4.4b shares) = $98m.   [4.4b can be calculated from the current share register of 2.6b plus the extra 1.8b Monos would pick up from converting the remaining $3.6m of the loan at recent price of 0.2c]

    Monos would end up pocketing $53.2m in this scenario [$10m from sale of the ‘major portion’ of the loan, plus $43.2m from conversion of their 2.16b shares (their existing 360m plus 1.8b from conversion of the remainder of the loan)].

    Interestingly in the above scenario it means that the CE will be better off with a higher amount of the loan initially purchased, higher conversion price for the loan and lower buyout figure for the remaining shares. Monos will want the opposite.  Also, Monos may not want to sell more than ~$12.4m (depending on conversion price for the remainder) of the loan as this would enable them to retain 10% and ensure they can block any attempt by the CE to reach 90% holding and force a compulsory acquisition scenario.

    Some example scenarios:

    Example 1
    Loan portion purchased: $12m
    Conversion Price: 0.2c (same as above example)
    Buyout Price: 2c (same as above example)

    Cost to CE: $80m
    Monos get: $35.2m
    Retailers get: 2c per share


    Example 2
    Loan portion purchased: $10m (same as original example)
    Conversion Price: 0.2c (same as original example)
    Buyout Price: 1c

    Cost to CE: $46m
    Monos get: $23.6m
    Retailers get: 1c per share


    Example 3
    Loan portion purchased: $10m (same as original example)
    Conversion Price: 0.1c
    Buyout Price: 2c (same as original example)

    Cost to CE: $134m
    Monos get: $89.2m
    Retailers get: 2c per share


    Cheers

    Freighter
 
Add to My Watchlist
What is My Watchlist?
A personalised tool to help users track selected stocks. Delivering real-time notifications on price updates, announcements, and performance stats on each to help make informed investment decisions.

Currently unlisted public company.

arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch. arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch.