Hi rcman,
I don't believe their COVID numbers because the excess death figures differ so wildly. For example, in 2017, 2018 & 2019 1.8m Russians died per year. In 2020, 2.1m Russians died. This increase of 300k, or just under 20%, is statistically anomalous, and a long way outside the standard deviation. These figures can be predicted to a fairly narrow range when not influenced by, say, respiratory viruses with high IFR's for the 60+ age group.
Case numbers are also wildly under-reported. For example, Seroprevalence of COVID antibodies in the Indian population was about 67% in June/July 2021. That means about 850m Indians had contracted the virus by that stage. Official case numbers for India are 33.3m as of now. What happens when you multiply an IFR of 0.5% by 850m infections?
Then we get into Central/West African, and some South American countries, that don't keep death registries at all, let alone record COVID deaths. Do you honestly think only 2k people have died of COVID in Nigeria when South Africa has recorded 85k deaths but experienced 230k excess deaths?
Cheers!
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