These are rough estimations I have calculated using some of the figures from the IPAA OGIS FLORIDA presentation.
I have allowed $1000 per acre for both Roosevelt and Hawk Springs which could easily be influenced by any further positive or negative drilling results. SOA#2 will have a big bearing in the next few days, where Roosevelt has some way to go before SSN buy price of $200 per acre reaches $1000 per acre. I haven’t included any further transactions in Roosevelt with the 2nd Tranche until such time SSN informs the market.
It is extremely difficult to put a proper valuation on Hawk Springs or Roosevelt at this stage on current results or until other acreage in or around SSN have sold (for example CHK Niobrara leases). So I have made some very rough estimates until we have further results.
$30M Cash (Approx)
$18M Hawk Springs calculation of $1000 per acre 18,000 acres in total
$20M Roosevelt calculation of $1000 per acre 20,000 acres 1st Tranche (No buy back option from FPEC )
$17M North Dakota Approx infill wells from SSN
$4M Proved Reserves (as quoted from SSN)
$0M ORRI (at this stage)
$89M in total
4.5 cents fully diluted
If you use the Enercom report it puts an updated figure of $500 per acre on Hawk Springs and with current results from Roosevelt, if you put the same value of $500 per acre you would have a valuation of SSN of approx 3.5 cents per share fully diluted.
Would be happy for other thoughts and opinions.
Cheers Matsim
SSN Price at posting:
5.3¢ Sentiment: Hold Disclosure: Not Held