It is hard to see share price falling materially if the vote fails.
There is a lot of support for the existing share price.
1. Brookfield and EIG have bid $9.53/share indicating they think it is worth at least that.
2. AusSuper and reportedly some other funds are rejecting $9.53/share as they think it is worth more than that.
3. The independent valuation supported a mid-point valuation of $8.97/share as at 30 June 2023 which it also estimated could be approx 40c/share higher ($9.37/share) by middle of December 2023.
4. The closest trading comparison, AGL Energy, is up over 40% since the original bid. So even without the offer there is a good chance that ORG would be trading 40% higher than a year ago too (over $8/share).
5. The share price is trading at a material discount to the offer price. So the market has already priced in a high chance of the deal not going through.
6. The bidders are reported to be working on another offer (that would require >50% acceptance) if this offer fails so that will also provide support to the share price.
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Last
$9.92 |
Change
-0.010(0.10%) |
Mkt cap ! $17.08B |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
$9.99 | $10.08 | $9.91 | $17.55M | 1.760M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
2 | 3110 | $9.91 |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
$9.93 | 5344 | 1 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
8 | 20297 | 9.900 |
4 | 14108 | 9.890 |
3 | 12000 | 9.880 |
2 | 32386 | 9.870 |
1 | 8767 | 9.860 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
9.930 | 5344 | 1 |
9.940 | 14108 | 3 |
9.950 | 11824 | 1 |
9.960 | 11824 | 1 |
10.000 | 1975 | 4 |
Last trade - 16.10pm 13/05/2024 (20 minute delay) ? |
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Last
$9.91 |
  |
Change
-0.010 ( 0.16 %) |
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Open | High | Low | Volume | ||
$9.98 | $10.08 | $9.91 | 423448 | ||
Last updated 15.59pm 13/05/2024 ? |
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