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Smurph

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15/06/22

15:01

Post #: 62014786
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Originally posted by bumskins ↑

I do see some risks that some of the tailwinds are slowing or changing which means a much longer time to play out.

I do think over time, the company should trade closer in line with REITs than a Tech Company.

1. Rates have been going down (way down).
They have managed to refinance a lot of debt & lock in at the lower rate.
But rates are now trending back up quickly.
This has significantly reduced interest expense, but this will reverse when rolling future debt.

2. They have benefited from falling Electricity prices the last couple of years, they are now increasing substantially.
Unsure of any hedges, but the longer higher prices continue the more likely the pass through & new contracts being at negotiated at higher prices.

3. I think most of the recently expanded DC's being Megascale will achieve very good scale & operating leverage once at high utilisation.
However I believe they will also take much longer to fill. Just something to be realistic about.
It's less risky Operationally & Financially that the base builds will be done and only incremental Capex will be required to service much of the new customer demand for years to come.

I still think it's important to focus on customer adoption (MW's) across the different regions over time and not constructed MW's. They aren't supply constrained.

Expand

I’m fairly sure I recall CS in an interview saying that electricity prices does not impact the business as they are directly passed on to customers.

NXT Price at posting: $9.86 Sentiment: Buy Disclosure: Held
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(20min delay)
Last $14.42		Change 0.345(2.45%)		Mkt cap ! $9.228B

Open	High	Low	Value	Volume
$14.23	$14.57	$14.18	$19.61M	1.361M

Buyers (Bids)

No.	Vol.	Price($)
22	2236	$14.41

Sellers (Offers)

Price($)	Vol.	No.
$14.42	1906	14

View Market Depth

No.	Vol.	Price($)
29	3377	14.410
12	2659	14.400
10	2417	14.390
10	5229	14.380
10	3237	14.370

Price($)	Vol.	No.
14.420	734	17
14.430	4019	35
14.440	5324	20
14.450	4787	18
14.460	5051	14

Last trade - 14.50pm 24/06/2025 (20 minute delay)

NXT (ASX) Chart

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