What's the Path?

  1. 980 Posts.
    As far as I can tell this is the current status of the uncalled states:
    State% Vote CountedTrumpBidenDifferenceEC Votes
    1North Carolina95.00%50.10%48.70%1.40%15
    2Georgia91.00%50.60%48.10%2.50%16
    3Arizona82.00%46.80%51.80%-5.00%11
    4Wisconsin81.00%51.10%47.10%4.00%10
    5Nevada79.00%47.80%50.30%-2.50%6
    6Pennsylvania74.00%55.70%43.00%12.70%20
    7Michigan71.00%52.90%45.40%7.50%16
    8Maine69.00%42.30%54.50%-12.20%4

    Apparently Biden has locked in 220 EC Votes and Trump 213.

    States not locked in yet but are a foregone conclusion are Hawaii and Alaska. Biden is sure to get Hawaii with its 4 EC Votes and Trump is sure to get Alaska with its 3 EC Votes.

    So that gets us to:

    Biden: 224 - Needs 46 EC Votes
    Trump: 216 - Needs 54 EC Votes

    Looking at the current status table who is more likely to get to 270?

    Given the advanced status of NC, GA, WI, PA, MI and the leads Trump has in each compared to how much remains to be counted in each of those states I can't see how Biden has any path to victory.
 
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