Whats the signal?

I've been reading the posts for 3 years trying to piece together a convoluted story line, frankly I'm still in the dark but having said that I'm a 'glass half full' guy (and an old one at that) still trying to make sense of this company.
There are many more informed than me and I am asking for their views on the following
In the recent chairmans address he noted five signals -
2015 Q4 EPC contract signed
2016 Q1 Equity partner identified
Q2 Port rail and debt terms confirmed
Q3 Mine debt terms competed
Q4 Port and rail construction started
Two questions, which of these signals would indicate certainty of proceeding and which one would move the sp

Thank you