50 US$ means a market cap of 2.5 Billion US$. 50 million shares x 50 US$. This is a very reasonable prediction. On the 3rd of September 2007 TZ made an announcement stating a market potential for Intevia in 2011 of US$369 million. Surely these predictions were made in collaboration with Credit Suisse and they form the basis of the NASDAQ listing.
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Automotive $0 $0 $0 $3,496 $20,886
Ground Transportation $0 $3,375 $24,734 $54,588 $75,039
Rail $0 $0 $0 $2,996 $4,513
Aero $174 $1,114 $8,455 $24,162 $61,662
Defense $0 $2,376 $17,172 $44,000 $83,321
Industrial and Medical $838 $4,894 $11,610 $36,031 $123,831
TOTAL REVENUE $1,012 $11,759 $61,970 $165,273 $369,252
Since then TZ have been executing on there technology in a spectacular way and the market potential for 2011 seems to be very much outdated. We now all share the conviction that Intevia is a disruptive groundbreaking new technology and the high flyers of the business world are adopting this technology.
Profit margins are around 55% which means, based on the outdated market potential for 2011, a net profit of 203 million US$. So, at 50 US$ we are looking at a PE of 12.3 based on outdated revenue projections. That’s not a lot for a high growth stock. Indeed, US$ 100 seems to be more logical.
Just think about, early September it was already all out in the open and back then nobody seemed to want this stock!!
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