EXG 0.00% 3.5¢ excelsior gold limited

When will Excelsior Gold blast higher?, page-6

  1. 22,624 Posts.
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    This has been talked to death over the past few months
    (see previous posts)
    From the graph the market became skeptical in Feb (see Co anns)

    There's a saying in business; 'never underestimate the other party's greed".

    Now just imagine you are the other party; the Chinese.
    You have a a huge plant but little or no ore. You are approached by
    an emerging miner to process ore under contract.

    Greed 1 theory:
    As Chinese, you cut a safe deal to process EXG's:
    -you ultimately determine grade
    -you pay 50% up front based on your grade valuation
    -you delay the remaining 50% payment for as long as possible
    -you guarantee not to make a hostile takeover bid for at least 12 months
    (7 months ago).
    -you accumulate in the interim via a third party.
    -if we don't buy them and if they are profitable, we'll eventually loose them as a customer.

    Greed 2 theory:
    You are EXG.
    -you get to market early and cheaply by employing a contract processor
    -you accumulate the lollies
    -when there is enough in the kick, you build your own plant.
    -you are independent and then you securely make the lollies.

    IMO, the risk/reward equation of EXG and its Chinese processor has to
    be considered as per the above 2 theories.

    Perhaps the Mar quarterly will reveal how tardy the Chinese final payments are.

    I assume that to process, seperate and smelt the gold takes less than a month.

    DYOR & all of this is IMO only.

    mm
 
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