No one seems to have commented on the most obvious of things lately? Disclosed holding?
1. insto's are buying. Regal and JCP are large successful shops. Taking +8% each, in such a short time frame is not a coincidence.
2. BAML holding is reflective of a hedge of a clients synthetic exposure. When regal just 'appeared' with a large holding and BAML decreased at the same time. Note BAML is increasing again. Is this one fund, many, hedged to their other business or reflective of something else I don't know. Let you work out why a hedge fund would want to public ally disclose their position (not something common unless there is another reason).
3. So what can you infer from 1 & 2? To me not a coincidence that this positions are disclosed when they were in relation to being added to the asx200. Holding >5% are excluded from the liquidity calculus - holder over 5% are now over 42%! Kehoe clearly was trying to increase the float, other trying to do the opposite. Why? Defend a takeover maybe? Add BAML position to the largest insto's - just under 20% right? Extremely material number under Aust law.
now I might simply be looking at the tea leaves in a funny way after a strong coffee, but fact is something is cooking - what I don,t know but there are very successful shops building positions and I am not going to fight that.
Love to hear thoughts.
I hold and have for some time and will be buying weakness.
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