I am just going to provide some observable facts within the current SaaS market.
Here is EV/Foward Revenue multiples on publicly traded SaaS companies (separated into quarterly 'buckets' depending on how fast they are growing)
As you can see, we have seen a contraction in majority of 'fast growth' SaaS companies over the past few months. Majority of companies demand a EV/Forward Revenue multiple of between 3.2 - 4.7 depending on how fast they are growing.
1PG currently has an EV on latest quarterly of $21.3M. Using simple arithmetic we can see that this means in order for value to be present based on the current SaaS market valuations 1PG must be looking at between $4.53M - $6.66M forward revenue.
You can see why the market is punishing its valuations based on analysis like this.
I am all for optimism and I really enjoy it when I see shareholders get excited at company success, but there is no point dismissing observable facts.
Unless:
(a). SaaS valuations broadly turn around (indicating we enter a SaaS buyers market); or
(b). 1PG management are able to steer the company into the $4.53M - $6.66M forward revenue range; then I expect more shareholder pain.
Entering a speculative investment because it trades near cash is a fallacy if management have been eroding shareholder value through frivolous cash management.
Good luck guys![]()
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