the Bracks gov in 1999coalition was one seat ahead 43 -42 and...

the Bracks gov in 1999
coalition was one seat ahead 43 -42 and there were 3 rural independents(sound familliar) and guess what?
they ended up going with labor.
from Wiki
"Political observers were almost unanimous that Bracks had no chance of defeating Liberal premier Jeff Kennett at the November 1999 election: polls gave Kennett a 60% popularity rating. Bracks and his senior colleagues (particularly Brumby, who comes from Bendigo) campaigned heavily in regional areas, accusing Kennett of ignoring regional communities. In response, voters in regional areas deserted the Kennett government and Labor increased their seats from 29 to 42, with the Liberals and their National Party allies retaining 43, and three falling to rural independents. With no party having a clear majority, the independents agreed to support a minority Labor government which made Steve Bracks the first Catholic Labor Premier of Victoria since 1932."