You can never know JMO you will be rewarded nicely. Waite for positive news to buy not this board saying it is going to be great. If you think of a sine wave the greatest change Divided by time is not the bottom but after the bottom.
You are right it is impossible to know but educated guess says down hard. Simply REE prices are way down Any time revenue is down QOQ or YOY the price usually follows. Because of delays Spot price to what Lynas sees Q3 will be bad Q4 will be very bad. Even if they jump to NEXT rates in Q3 that volume increase is not able to cover the drop in price. Quarterly YOY Same is true of Q4. Even if License is renewed in time that just allows them to continue as normal. Look at latest big fall. Look at charts Prices did not start falling rapidly with license announcement. Or with Musk saying he was going to limit or stop the use of REE in his motors. The biggest fall was triggered by profits in SAR release.
LYC Price at posting:
$6.53 Sentiment: Sell Disclosure: Not Held
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