Is Yellen seriously like to see an uptick in global growths before delivering a rate hike? Is Europe not a worry for now? Are China and US comming out for a good solution?
1. We have 3 months to go and hopefully Yellen doesn't change that.
2. Greek has re-elected existing PM. Good.
Portugal credit rating is lifted. Good
Spain will NOT exist European Union. I think.
Spanish is a major shale player in UK. Last year it failed to win majority votes to claim un-dependency. It wanted to peg its currency to USD. Spain was extremely LUCKY as oil root was started from last June. It could have been in DEFAULT.
This time the USD is sky high. There is no reason for Spain to peg to USD as It will hurt its exports therefore NO EXIST.
Italy?
Trouble countries in Europe are in better shape now.
So when will Europe attract capital inflows. Europe index should repond according to the addition QE.
USD will be weaken a little bit.
3. I am waiting for a good solution at the end of this month.
If negative, I will see a new TRADE war
If positive, I will see capital inflows to China as I know China will fully peg to USD.
Yuan will rise and China MUST cut its interest rate to deliver growths. That’s good for stocks.
USD will be weaken a little bit.
Once Yellen see a sign of growths in conjunction with LOWER USD the SHE can rise rate whatever that suits her taste.
If, if and if things are falling into my ways. I can give it a good PUNT on commodities.
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