Very loosely speaking, I would: 1) half the movement in Melco...

Very loosely speaking, I would:
1) half the movement in Melco Crown; and
2) add that to whatever contribution to share price you'd expect from CWN's other ventures.

In the absence of a new announcement or report, I wouldn't bother trying to guess the latter of these contributions (that's where you'll be relying on technical analysis).

I'd guess for a 2% drop in CWN today, but I really am just guessing. Anything from flat to -4% is likely.