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Why 6 Months?, page-45

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pintohoo

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31/03/20

02:02

Post #: 43786285
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Originally posted by Reaper11 ↑

How do we get 90% of the population exposed to the virus in 6 months if we flatten the curve?. It's currently about 400 people per day being infected. In 200 days that's 80 000 people, or less than 1/300th of the population. If we go into shutdown the numbers exposed to the virus will be falling or at worst stable, not rising. The aim of a shutdown has to be to get the infection rate towards zero....I would have thought, so you can reopen with the disease still present but not on a scale likely to result in a catastrophe.

Reaper

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gosh - let me think about that -- if it's 400 a day now

do we think with any curve at all it's going to be 400 a day going forward??

------ must be a bit late for you reap

in a blink at the rate of growth - flattened a bit or not - it's going to be 10's of thousands a day
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