"A study published on Monday in the magazine Science found that for every confirmed case of the virus there are likely another five to 10 people with undetected infections in the community."
So you can take Italy's death rate of 9% and divide it by anywhere from 5 - 10. I'd say more like 10 given the high population per sqm.
Germany's 2017 influenza season had a death rate of about 0.3% which is on par to what they are experiencing now. So far they are at 94 deaths compared with 25,100 in 2017.
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