When you're trading/investing you should always bear-in-mind that you're playing a game of probabilities... and it's only with hindsight that you'll know which are winners or losers. NUF at $11.50 is $1.50 (13%) below the $13.00 price agreed should Shinochem complete the T.O. My reckoning is:
FRIB approval: 90% chance it will be granted.
Shinochem decide to buy NUF: 70-75% chance of proceeding.
Others may have different opinions/estimations. But based on the above i am holding my NUF shares as probability of obtaining $13.00 is high.
Another way to look at it is: what other shares on ASX have 70-75% probability of rising 13% within 8 weeks?? Not too many IME.
When you're trading/investing you should always bear-in-mind...
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 (20min delay)
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Last
$4.02 |
Change
0.140(3.61%) |
Mkt cap ! $1.539B | |||
| Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
| $4.00 | $4.15 | $3.99 | $10.60M | 2.628M |
Buyers (Bids)
| No. | Vol. | Price($) |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2686 | $4.01 |
Sellers (Offers)
| Price($) | Vol. | No. |
|---|---|---|
| $4.05 | 1000 | 1 |
View Market Depth
| Last trade - 16.10pm 15/11/2024 (20 minute delay) ? |
| NUF (ASX) Chart |