why im stockpiling.

  1. 262 Posts.
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    Why I've more than tripled my position in the last week

    1) Fundamentals - NTA - 50c a share, down from 60+ still shows a massive discount >50%. If the company went into receivership tomorrow, we would come out with about 40c per share after costs.
    2) Fundamentals - Earnings - 4.6c, based on P/E, this is <5. The earnings are not taking any hits from revaluations, Instead, there is a 30% forcast in earnings growth for next years rental returns.
    3) Potential Takeover Target - Even from the NTA standpoint above, it would be worth buying this company just for the asset sale value. Sell at a 10% discount and still come out on top.

    Risks
    1) Further Writedowns - Possible, but I have mroe confidence after listening to the Annual Report Webcast, and their conservative approach to the revaluations.
    2) Dilutive Cap Raising - Possible, but their balance sheet is already quite healthy, and they are winding down the ADF to improve, not expand.
    3) Poor Management Decisions causes more thrown away cash - This one has a higher probability, however simplification of the business makes it harder for fools to mismanage.

    Buy companies that a fool can run, because oneday one will (APZ)

    For me, this is a pure value play.
 
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(20min delay)
Last
$4.09
Change
0.020(0.49%)
Mkt cap ! $925.9M
Open High Low Value Volume
$4.10 $4.13 $4.06 $1.241M 303.3K

Buyers (Bids)

No. Vol. Price($)
1 17554 $4.06
 

Sellers (Offers)

Price($) Vol. No.
$4.14 20000 1
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Last trade - 16.10pm 07/08/2025 (20 minute delay) ?
APZ (ASX) Chart
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