As advised , here is a little insurer to insurer comparison with market darling QBE. ( my opinions only DYOR)
At the moment you can buy 4 1/2 shares to 1 with QBE
Genworth has been profitable for the last 2 years , QBE has not.
The total profit form both companies over this period is very similar
Over the last 2 years QBE has issued 66c in dividends
Genworth has not been trading 2 years but has issued 57c in dividends and is on track to issue 75c in dividends over its first 2 years.
As a direct comparison 1QBE share last 2 years = 66C 4.5 GMA shares $3.37 ( inc 2H est.)
Genworth is trading under its NTA , QBE is trading at almost 3 times NTA
QBE has a huge amount of Debt/ Genworth has a minimal amount.
QBE has 1.23 times APRA capital requirement Genworth 1.6
Price to Earnings QBE almost 20 / Genworth is under 7
The most important metric however is this. Based on the ratio of Earned Premium/Investment returns
Genworth is protected for the first 26% of loss ratio points , whereas QBE is only protected from a fraction of this <3%. This is a reoccurring position , it is not a one off. Every day , week , quarter , half yearly ,and Annual return with have this differential ( give or take small swings).
Genworth has no exposure to Asian Typhoons , the Florida Windy Season or man made Catastrophes. Its risk is to the health of the Australian Economy , its buffer is low interest rates , steady unemployment's, increasing house values and its trump card is Australian Law allows for claims losses to be pursued , which means nobody is locking their doors and walking away. Home owners will fight to keep their houses , which is good for Genworth. But wait there is more :) their other trump , is competitive mortgage markets and govt regulations allowing for mortgage changes , equals Genworth can book in profit well ahead of time ( I am not sure of their company policy for this)
GLTA - DYOR , DYOR
Column 1
Column 2
Column 3
Column 4
Column 5
0
QBE
Genworth
1
Share Price
$14.56
$3.18
2
Share Ratio
1.00
4.57
3
Debt to Equity
46.50%
2014
7%
4
77.80%
2013
5
Debt
3.58B
200m
6
EPS
75c
2014
33c
2014
7
minus 30c
2013
50c
My Est 2015
8
Dividend Yield
3%
2014
8%
2014
9
3%
2013
>15%
Myest2015
10
Dividend
37c
2014
26c
2014
11
33c
2013
40c+
Myest2015
12
Price/Earnings
19 x
2014
9
2014
13
Negative
2013
<7
Myest2015
14
Last 2 year Profit
500m
500m
15
Market Cap
20B
2.06B
16
NTA
7.25B
2.8B
17
NTA/Market Cap
360%
74%
18
APRA PCA/NTA
1.23x
1.64X
19
2015 Profit
?
280m-350m
20
Invs Portfolio
28B
4.1B
21
% of Earned Prem
200%
1000%
22
Loss ratio Protection by investment
2.58%
26%
23
24
Loan Cost p.a
297m
7m
Please feel free to let me know if any of this is wrong
GMA Price at posting:
$3.18 Sentiment: Buy Disclosure: Held
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