HLI helia group limited

As advised , here is a little insurer to insurer comparison with...

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    As advised , here is a little insurer to insurer comparison with  market darling QBE. ( my opinions only DYOR)

    At the moment you can buy 4 1/2 shares to 1 with QBE
    Genworth has been profitable for the last 2 years , QBE has not.
    The total profit form both companies over this period is very similar
    Over the last 2 years QBE has issued 66c in dividends
    Genworth has not been trading 2 years but has issued  57c in dividends and is on track to issue 75c in dividends over its first 2 years.
    As a direct comparison  1QBE share last 2 years = 66C  4.5 GMA shares  $3.37 ( inc 2H est.)
    Genworth is trading under its NTA , QBE is trading at almost 3 times NTA
    QBE has a huge amount of Debt/ Genworth has a minimal amount.
    QBE has 1.23 times APRA capital requirement Genworth 1.6
    Price to Earnings QBE almost 20 / Genworth is under 7

    The most important metric however is this. Based on the ratio of Earned Premium/Investment returns
    Genworth is protected for the first 26% of loss ratio points , whereas QBE is only protected from a fraction of this <3%. This is a reoccurring position , it is not a one off. Every day , week , quarter , half yearly ,and Annual return with have this differential ( give or take small swings).

    Genworth has no exposure to Asian Typhoons , the Florida Windy Season or man made Catastrophes. Its risk is to the health of the Australian Economy , its buffer is low interest rates , steady unemployment's, increasing house values  and its trump card is Australian Law allows for claims losses to be pursued , which means nobody is locking their doors and walking away. Home owners will fight to keep their houses , which is good for Genworth. But wait there is more :) their other trump ,  is competitive mortgage markets and govt regulations allowing for  mortgage changes , equals Genworth can book in profit well ahead of time ( I am not sure of their company policy for this)

    GLTA - DYOR , DYOR



    Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 Column 4 Column 5
    0   QBE   Genworth  
    1 Share Price $14.56   $3.18  
    2 Share Ratio   1.00     4.57  
    3 Debt to Equity 46.50% 2014 7%  
    4   77.80% 2013    
    5 Debt 3.58B   200m  
    6 EPS 75c 2014 33c 2014
    7   minus 30c 2013 50c My Est 2015
    8 Dividend Yield 3% 2014 8% 2014
    9   3% 2013 >15% Myest2015
    10 Dividend 37c 2014 26c 2014
    11   33c 2013 40c+ Myest2015
    12 Price/Earnings 19 x 2014 9 2014
    13   Negative 2013 <7 Myest2015
    14 Last 2 year Profit 500m   500m  
    15 Market Cap 20B   2.06B  
    16 NTA 7.25B   2.8B  
    17 NTA/Market Cap 360%   74%  
    18 APRA PCA/NTA 1.23x   1.64X  
    19 2015 Profit ?   280m-350m  
    20 Invs Portfolio 28B   4.1B  
    21 % of Earned Prem 200%   1000%  
    22 Loss ratio Protection by investment 2.58%   26%  
    23          
    24 Loan Cost p.a 297m   7m  

    Please feel free to let me know if any of this is wrong
 
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Last
$5.09
Change
0.080(1.60%)
Mkt cap ! $1.386B
Open High Low Value Volume
$5.02 $5.18 $5.00 $4.024M 786.2K

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$5.13 352 1
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