Flattening the Corona curveFlattening the Corona Curve.Now that...

Flattening the Corona curve

Flattening the Corona Curve.

Now that Italy's fatality rate is higher than China's, some lessons have been learnt. The Chinese Red Cross has informed them to close all unnecessary work, although it is far too late in the epicentre. Unless social distancing through isolation is maximized, the viral spread curve is not adequately reduced. Once infection rates meet a certain threshold, between about 1000 - 1500 based on Sth Korea's, Iran's, and Italy's infection rate curves, containment is lost.

Australia's rate is presently half that, but a doubling rate of about 6 days. So by weekend next, we have Buckley's chance of containing it. Of course, this has been the governments pitch all along, that no country can contain it, but this is very wrong.

Taiwan, Vietnam, and Singapore are doing exceptionally well to contain it considering their close involvement with China. But the Australian government has hoodwinked the Australian people by focusing on the economy and shopping aisles. Whereas they need to concentrate on the most important issue: flattening the curve first. So far their containment policy is not achieving this, and in another week or two it will be too late.

All schools must close immediately and all non essential work must stop immediately. The sooner we do that, the sooner the infection rate will minimize and less lives will be lost. That is any governments first responsibility.

Mere mitigation is not an option, and the Australian medical fraternity know it, except those spinning the governments lies.