Great question, was wondering the same. Bell Potter on 21.4.:
Watching water and cattle prices
There are two commodity price linked drivers in the earnings for RFF; temporary water prices and the EYCI, which have been softening and touched on below:
Water prices (~6% of assets):
Since acquiring a $34m water portfolio (Murrumbidgee system) in Oct’16, temporary water prices have fallen ~85% on the Murrumbidgee (to $10-11/ML) and ~65% on the Southern connected System (to ~$29/ML).
Cattle prices (~9% of assets):
We have recently highlighted a belief that the EYCI is ~15% overvalued relative to US90CL pricing (see: The Muster (10/03/17)) and due for a correction as US demand for Australian beef slows. On this point we note the EYCI link in the cattle JV lease which could become a headwind in FY18e.
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...which is probably a fair statement but still would not explain the huge drop? Going bidless below $1.50 (21 buyers for 76,881 shares // 46 sellers for 272,283 shares)...
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Great question, was wondering the same. Bell Potter on 21.4.:...
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Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
$2.00 | $2.02 | $2.00 | $229.4K | 114.5K |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
22 | 20985 | $2.01 |
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Price($) | Vol. | No. |
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15 | 38865 | 2.000 |
9 | 21564 | 1.995 |
13 | 29025 | 1.990 |
9 | 33417 | 1.985 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
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2.030 | 34165 | 11 |
2.040 | 7238 | 11 |
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