Based on their guidance the annual attributable sale should be in the range of 31 to 33 MT. For first nine months they could only achieve 22 MT. To meet the guidance the quarterly attributable production should be between 9 to 10MT for the December quarter. YAl has achieved this last year. With such production if achieved and the coal price realised similar to last quarter you are looking at cash generation of more than A$ 2.5 billion for December quarter.
YAL was a bit conservative in intern dividend declared in August. With debt nearly paid off and net cash of more than A$ 3.5 billion as on 31st December, I am expecting a final dividend for FY 22 close to A$ 2. Management has also indicated in September quarter than FY 22 financial performance will be a record. This appears to be aggressive but may be more realistic.
DYOR.
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