This has and always been political and until the Coalition win the next election they won’t make a decision and here is why -
- Coalition won 77seats of 151 at the last election
- since then there has been a redistribution with one Coalition seat going in WA and a new ALP seat in Victoria , so now the Coalition has 76 seats - a majority of 1.
- WA is going to be a disaster for ScoMo - at least 3 seats will swing, QLD is at a high mark for the Coalition (no more seats to be won but they can lose some)
- Vic is strong ALP and ScoMo is not well liked down there
- SA has only one marginal which is held by Coalition - may flip but may not
- NT and ACT - no change
- Tas - who bloody knows - they are a different breed down there. Probably status quo.
So it comes down to NSW where ScoMo has to pick up seats to retain government. So don’t scare the horses otherwise seats on the Coast are in possible danger of swapping to ALP.
It is all political. Nothing before the next election.
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