https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/article/2024/jun/25/very-serious-gas-supplies-in-southern-states-under-pressure-analysts-warn

‘Very serious’: gas supplies in southern states under pressure, analysts warn

‘Threat notice’ flags elevated supply risks, as expert warns problems will get worse without urgent addition of more backup resources

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Worried about gas supplies inVictoria, Rick Wilkinson, the chief executive of consultants EnergyQuest, described the situation as “very serious” and he predicted the state would “need a backup” to handle peak winter gas demand from 2026..............
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“This is very serious,” Wilkinson told Guardian Australia. “The main reason is we have lost about 200-300TJ/day out of Longford compared with a year ago” as the gasfields deplete.

Still, the present strains provide near-term challenges to the energy sector in eastern Australia far removed from the federal opposition’s contentious plan for Australia to haveseven nuclear power plantssome time after 2035..........

One option had been to complete Andrew Forrest’s Port Kembla gas-import facility, which is 90% finished. But a regasification vessel that could have enabled the importation had headed instead to Egypt after local contracts had not been signed, Wilkinson said. Another probably won’t be available for a further 18 months.......

Stepping up output from existing gasfields would probably provide only “marginal” extra gas, while new fields would take years to develop, he said.

WHAT is another probability???