Hi Grant, more food for thought.
Thursday, September 4th, 2008
Dear Energy and Capital Reader,
Of all the issues we cover here, nuclear power is the one that seems to be the most controversial. Either you love it or you hate it.
There is no real in between.
But no matter how you may feel about it, one thing is for certain: The Nuclear Revival is No Myth.
Not surprisingly, China is leading the way.
In fact, China recently completed a 71,000 square meter factory to build modules for AP1000 nuclear reactors in only 11 months.
The factory is part of the critical infrastructure that will help China meet its goal of building 100 Westinghouse AP1000 reactors by 2020. That's roughly 10 a year.
Their partners in this business venture are Westinghouse and Shaw Group Inc., who are building a similar factory in Louisiana that will be operating by the third quarter of 2009.
But that is just the tip of the iceberg.
As Dan Lipman, Senior Vice President for nuclear power plants at Westinghouse said recently:
"Westinghouse and our consortium partner Shaw Group are providing four new plants in China, and we have been identified for no less than 14 plants here in the United States.
"Other markets are fast emerging," he added, "It is imperative, therefore, that we move decisively to develop the infrastructure to meet the needs of our fast-growing and essential industry."
Of course, its comments like those and the building of all this new infrastructure that tells us the nuclear revival is one that investors can win big on.
After all, every company in this sector is clearly ramping up for something big.
And one company stands to benefit... in a major way.
We're calling it the "government-aided nuclear monopoly," and it's about to turn one stock into an easy double bagger.
You can learn all about it in the following free report.
Good investing,
Brian Hicks
Publisher, Energy and Capital
"Expanding nuclear energy is one way that we can actually [reduce] reliance on fossil fuels in a big way."
-- Patrick Moore, Co-Founder, Greenpeace
"There are 104 plants right now. We probably should have, as a nation, 200 or 250 plants. Now that's a long-term prospect."
-- Tom Farrel, CEO, Dominion Power
Dear Fellow Investor,
While most Americans have been fixated on oil and the cost of a fill-up lately, America's "other energy crisis" has gone largely unnoticed by the thundering herd.
I'm talking about a potential future shortage of domestic enriched uranium that could put the U.S. at the mercy of imports again in the future... that is, unless we do something about it, at once.
You see, while everyone knows we're emboldened to foreign oil, fewer of us are aware of this startling fact:
We currently import some 92% of the enriched uranium necessary to run our domestic nuclear plants.
It's a current danger that we can ill-afford... and Washington knows it!
What's more... The situation will get worse once a 20-year program with Russia called Megatons to Megawatts runs its course in 2013.
After that, all bets are off. We could be completely on our own, unable to meet our own needs.
That's where our "government-aided nuclear monopoly" enters the picture... and why its share price is set for an extraordinary run-up.
Because just like Freddie and Fannie, this is one monopoly that's too important to our security to fail.
According to the EIA's 2007 Uranium Marketing Annual Report:
8% of the 51 million pounds of U308e delivered in 2007 was of U.S. origin.
47 million pounds, or 92%, of U308e delivered in 2007 was of foreign origin.
The reality is, the government won't let it fail.
You see, without this former "government-sponsored enterprise," there would be no domestic producer of nuclear fuel. And that's simply unthinkable in today's world.
And that is precisely why the U.S. government has every interest in aiding this nuclear power house... and why Uncle Sam is literally helping the company build the kinds of moats Warren Buffett would be proud of.
Plus, with America right now on the brink of a nuclear renaissance, this is one domestic monopoly squarely in the right place at the right time.
The nuclear tide is clearly turning... as the looming crises of energy and climate change force all of us to get sensible about nuclear.
Here's how it's all unfolding...
Peak Oil and the Nuclear Renaissance
Of course, we wouldn't be talking about this at all if it wasn't for Peak Oil.
Peak Oil, as it turns out, is actually one of the biggest investment opportunities we'll see this century.
That's because huge sums of money will be needed to fix the problems that have sent the price of crude to the moon. And needless to say, numerous industries will benefit from these massive expenditures -- like our nuclear monopoly, for instance.
In fact, the Peak Oil problem is now so serious that the International Energy Agency (IEA) estimates it'll take well over $22 trillion in spending -- worldwide -- to fix.
Zogby Poll: 67% Favor Building New Nuclear Power Plants in U.S.
Survey finds Americans more likely to support a nuclear power plant in their own community than a coal, natural gas or oil plant.
That's a ton of dough... but the truth is that figure is probably just the beginning.
So, in reality, $22 trillion is just the starting point on a journey that could easily double before it's all said and done.
Those are the figures that have put alternative energy sources such as nuclear power on the uptrend while the energy complex climbs higher across the boards.
That is what the energy markets are actually pricing these days as they come to the realization that Peak Oil isn't just the work of some lunatic fringe. It's real.
After all, this is one cup that won't be passed.
Which is why I'm so bullish on nuclear power investments these days... and why you should be, too.
Take a look at nuclear's resurgence in this chart...
And despite the long shadow cast by those cooling towers in Pennsylvania, nuclear power--like it or not--is in the throes of a dramatic comeback -- one that promises to be a big issue in the Presidential elections this fall.
When that happens, it'll be a stunning reversal of fortune for an industry that had to fight tooth and nail just to survive over the last two decades.
Now consider this the next time you open your monthly power bill...
The US Department of Energy reports nuclear power costs 1.72 cents per kilowatt-hour (including operations and maintenance costs).
Now compare that to:
· Coal at 2.37 cents per kilowatt-hour;
· Natural gas at 6.75 cents per kilowatt-hour; and
· Oil at 9.63 cents per kilowatt-hour
The numbers don't lie. Nuclear power is the cheapest and most reliable power source by far... day or night... windy or calm. Nuclear power delivers.
Nuclear's "Carbon-Free" Advantage
That's right. Aside from being cheap and reliable, nuclear energy is also carbon free. That makes the industry an even bigger winner if cap and trade legislation becomes law.
That's all part of the equation that has 17 companies preparing license applications for as many as 31 new U.S Reactors.
(And that's on top of the 15 construction and operating permits already under review by the US Nuclear Regulatory Commission.)
And while that doesn't exactly match the 112 new nuclear reactors that were built between 1957 and 1990, it is definitely the start of a trend... one that investors will soon catch wind of.
You see, energy prices have simply gotten too high to stomach... and nuclear makes too much sense to ignore it.
Nuclear Energy Powers the World... and, Now, Your Portfolio
For investors, that means following a growth trend that is already firmly in place in the rest of the developing world.
It's no secret that while America allowed its nuclear industry to wither on the vine out of fear, the rest of the world moved forward.
While we dithered, everyone else kept building... and building... and building.
In fact, according to the Nuclear Energy Institute, as of March 2008, 30 countries worldwide were operating 439 nuclear reactors for electricity generation. Additionally, 35 new nuclear plants are currently under construction in 14 countries.
Naturally, that includes numerous new plants in both China and India, where power demand is expected to nearly triple between now and 2030.
But no matter where all these new plants will be built, the majority of them will be fueled with enriched uranium... which will inevitably become...
The "End Product" of our Domestic Nuclear Monopoly
You see, when this single company begins to open up its new production facility in late 2009, it will hit the market at precisely the right moment.
Moreover, the U.S. government has basically set up the company with a protected U.S. market... by restricting cheaper foreign imports, largely from Europe. That includes a restriction on imports from Russia into 2020.
But make no mistake... While this company may be aided by the federal government, it's certainly no start up. To the contrary, it has an established foothold... with its roots going back to the beginnings of the U.S. nuclear power industry.
In fact, just last year this company supplied nearly 1/3 of the world's enriched uranium supply, fueling 150 reactors on 3 continents. All this while meeting over 50% of the U.S. supply.
But as I mentioned earlier, that feat was only possible using fuel from old Soviet warheads... and that program is rapidly coming to an end. Without the program, only 12% of our enriched uranium would come from domestic sources.
That has this particular company working feverishly on a plan to replace those resources before they run out for good -- one that will help the country rebuild its enrichment capacity before it's lost to foreign competition.
Now, understand this... The plant itself has been costly and subject to big cost overruns. And without explicit government backing, investors have been harder to find.
But with a $2 billion government loan guarantee likely on the way -- sooner rather than later -- the news itself will catapult shares of this vital company much higher... as investors begin to pour in on the announcement.
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Hi Grant, more food for thought.Thursday, September 4th,...
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