Share
4,406 Posts.
lightbulb Created with Sketch. 742
clock Created with Sketch.
28/01/21
20:43
Share
Originally posted by tomboy:
↑
thats very disappointing for WSA, I called 2-3 trading range so now its midrange but may head back to 2.00 again. guidance used to be 24kTpa then dropped to 19kTpa now producing at way less at 14kTpa grades dropping away too from 5% to 4.1% to now a multiyear low of 2.9% nearing same grades as IGO Nova mine of 2.0% and lower than nearby POS LJ mine of 3.4% or SS mine at 5.1% Its milling capacity 0.6MTpa costs aud$4.86 NP is aud$10.50 margin still a healthy 100% $145M debt $75M MCap $680M WSA needs more higher grade ore & more mill capacity, it is capped at its current mill capacity & dependent on BHP for tolling ore. Jinchuan needs more conc production now but getting way less from them. Jinchuan is on the hunt for more conc. Global NIckel production is collapsing Aust NI production down 15% Indonesian/Phillipines down 20%, Phillo shuttered a whole island, Indo had earthquake on Ni island New Caledonia/Vale shuttered mine on rioting looting BHP Nickel West production down 13% Global Nickel demand is booming up 13% NP is going to boooom.WSA has been hit with lower production at higher costs due to lower grades and low milling capacity. PAN is yet another wasted investment requiring large capex with low grades in a stranded high cost area. Simple, get another mill and higher grade deposits or do a JV for the same & do it asap. Why burn $140M cash?
Expand
Nothing wrong with the head grade and BHP kal Ni Smelter is only one in the country and it's nearby. Sulphide deposits are rare - PAN was a real score. Ni heading up, give them time and they'll come good. WSA is the real deal in medium term imo.