$430m USD would be my expectation on the current jorc resource ( the USD to AUD conversion gain will be negated by the BEE % hold so make it 430m aud).
430 is around 5.4x so 23c
- dilution (for opps conversion/perf rights etc)
so about .18-20c
To that we
+ Au exploration upside from existing area & potential prospecting rights that we are awaiting on nearby
+ U resource conversion to 2012 Jorc
+ whatever we get from RIO when they spend $, find something, look to increase their ownership
+ PoG upside
- dilution to fund the capex depending on debt % they take
- time spent ramping up annual production & any potential delays
Hence my personal medium term target of that 24-30c area that I’ll be content with (of course would want more, who doesn’t).
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