S&P/ASX 200 (ASX:XJO) - XJO - Bear Posts only (Factors which might cause the markets to fall), 72033916, page-14266 - HotCopper | ASX Share Prices, Stock Market & Share Trading Forum

Originally posted by Ewebute ↑

I am sure if these all fall over there is not going to be an unemployment impact... Only 1 or 2 being employed per firm

https://www.msn.com/en-au/money/oth...-debt-storm-fuelled-by-high-rates/ar-BB1h5VAu

Talking earlier about trade between nations... Taiwan... If you do not take this on board, then you really have no sense of reality in the real world. Nearly everything that is powered requires chips of some form. Downturn isn't too far away now. The forward orders might have been strong enough to support production in the last quarter of last year, but going forward, this is unlikely to be the case. We have seen it already when chip suppliers to AAPL had fallen and the subsequent impact on their revenues. It is telling a story. I agree, the markets are not showing this, but when it does I really expect a 2020 type of reversal. Wen? Wen? Wen? When the big 3 decide that it is time to sell off.

https://www.msn.com/en-au/money/mar...rst-fall-in-6-months-outlook-poor/ar-BB1h3Irr

The hints will come in the number of shorts, increase in derivatives, and MAYBE a slight turn down a few days before, but I consider that we plebs won't be given much of a hint. 20% drop on the first trading session is a high possibility when the majors start to dump IMO.

Equity put / call ratio - no one is prepared.

Indices Put / Call ratio (nearly flat).

The worth of this thread is all the contributions and thoughts (even the bulls - with the recent pushes of late, I am shocked that more of their comments have not been provided - I guess it is difficult to justify a point when some of your investments have been decimated - this is when past experience is essential).

I am hoping others provide hints prior to a lead up to any major reversal... probably in 3 months - when someone catches one of those Unicorns

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50,000 firms in the UK on the line? So what multiple would you use for the USA given thier population is almost five times larger? Mind you, UK still has a very high top rate of personal income tax at 50%+. (Even the Rolling Stones moved to the USA 40 years ago to escape it), and Oz expats have said the wages there are crap compared to Australia. I really wonder how people surive there? (I think @DoctorBen said something similar about Euro countries?)

And Germany is touted to eclipse Japan as the world's third largest economy in the future, so worth watching. Holger Zschaepitz provides good regular insights. And he says they are in trouble, and so are Deutsche Bank if you have been following their bailout history.

I say, I say, what a great example of a "strong economy" whilst executing my weekly stipend at Aldi and Woolies. Bloody empty shelves everywhere! Is this Horsetraylia, or Russia? It took all my might to suppress the urge to hoard toilet paper. I tells ya, if you see your favourite food item in store, best to buy double, because Im getting dog gone tired of it not being there half the time. Ad now our Houthi friends are helping the cause.

Oh, and housing. We are selling a relatives house, and the brother in an ex RE agent. We asked top dollar. First weekend advertised, we got three offers, all above our asking price, top offer was 6% above. So the market mania you hear about in Syd and Melb is well alive in SE Qld too, people genuinely think if they dont snatch something immediately they will lose. Deffo a sellers market right now. So whats all the house builders doing? Oh thats right , collapsing.

So dont worry, deffo a strong resilient economy, hey? Bwaaa ha ha ha ha ha.