- Record stock prices will last
- Liquidity continuing to rise and will towards middle of 2025
- If World Economy is hot, it’s a bad thing for global liquidity as money will be sucked out of financial markets. We want a sluggish economy that central bankers want to stimulate. World economy is currently flat lining and policy makers want to ease
- Bitcoin is an early feeder of liquidity
- Powell/Yellen manipulating/distorting the bond market
- Two major risks for financial markets:
- Inflation shock associated with high oil prices historically – unlikely at this stage
- In last 25-30yrs all financial crisis have been refinancing crisis in other words the inability to rollover debt – watch regional bank reserves
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