XJO - Bear Posts only (Factors which might cause the markets to fall), page-24

University of Michigan sentiment index... if this drops by more than 10% in any given month (not over time), this is a good prediction of a recession occurring a short time after. This video gives a great explanation and examples. Considering interest rates are surging in the 2 year bond yields, and matching to other economic data, I generally agree with the information and sentiment of the video.