Hi all,
Has the USA market factored into it's index price the chances of a recession ?
Has it factored in a long deep recession or a mild recession ?
If one has the ability to price that , where should we be now ?
Have people factored in the Cape 10 Index, the Baltic Dry Index, the S&P short interest index, the market sentiment indicator, the 27% probability of a recession ( Fed Res Cleveland 28/08), the absolute lack of business investment in the last 1/4 as a % of USA GDP, forgettable about how the markets perform in the mid term elections, also forgetting about the NAAIM index, the % of Corporate client buy backs that has fallen ? 30% , USA home sales down 20% , USA housing prices down.
There is more by far, but I am sick of typing.
As ewebute says beware !
I have been trading for decades.
Caveat Emptor.
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