Latest from Colin Twiggs.The next six weeks could be brutal
By ColinTwiggs
November 28, 2020First, please read the Disclaimer.
Daily new cases of COVID-19remain high, warning of further shutdowns as medical facilities are overrun.
Air travel spiked upwards as more than 6 million peopletraveled home for Thanksgiving.
Health authorities expect the next six weeks to bebrutal, with new highs in daily cases and rising pressure on hospitals.
The S&P 500 is totally disconnected, making newhighs, with breakout above 3600. Bearish divergence on Twiggs Money Flow(13-week) continues to warn of long-term selling pressure.
Stocks above the 200-Day MA are at 90%. Reversal below80% would warn of a sharp fall in prices.
Conclusion
We see US stocks as overpriced and maintain our bearishoutlook, limiting exposure to growth sectors.
Quote for the Week
"We have not even come close to the peak, and assuch, our hospitals are now being overrun."
~ Dr. Michael Osterholm, member of President-elect JoeBiden's Covid advisory team.
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· S&P 500: Next six weeks could be brutal
· Commodities and global growth
· Dollar breaks support but so does Gold
· Gold: MMT and negative Treasury yields
· Gold: Keep your eyes on the prize
· Australian Growth: Performance at 31 October 2020
· International Growth: Performance at 31 October 2020
Disclaimer
Colin Twiggs is director of The Patient Investor Pty Ltd, an Authorised Representative(no. 1256439) of MoneySherpa Pty Limited which holds Australian FinancialServices Licence No. 451289.
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