XJO 0.74% 8,285.2 s&p/asx 200

Nice to see some analysis of the SPXThats right up my alley :-)I...

  1. 178 Posts.
    Nice to see some analysis of the SPX

    Thats right up my alley :-)

    I am working a setup that ideally needs a new ATH, so target above 1730SPX

    If the market has a new high in store then it likely ends wave 5 of an ending diagonal (aka bearish wedge to non Elliotticians)






    What does that mean? well it means if the ED idea is correct then on the new high a large reversal potentially is setting up.

    One that could be similar to the top in 2000.

    I can count it completed but it would "look" far better with a new ATH.

    This setup is one of the reasons i am very bearish on the XJO

    I think its a large B wave from the March 2009 lows, the XJO has failed to even reach the 61.8% of the 2007-2009 crash.



    At the risk of getting abused and flamed lol, wave [Y] suggests it sees the under the March 2009 lows.

    I hope there are no "funny mental" traders reading

    No one sees the reversal till its too late, but history can provide some excellent clues.

    Back in May 2013 i was looking for a move back to 4600-4700 on the XJO, the sentient was bullish as it was today, but as usual the majority never saw it coming till it was too late.



    I am not a fan of these long term macro counts as they take too long to find out you are right, i tend to follow 4hr wave counts.

    Thats where I make my $$$

    But if those ideas are setting up for a reversal, it could be something that is impressive.

    That wedge shape on the SPX is something i feel needs respecting.

    Nouf
 
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