Awesome analysis @rift07. Hard to fault anything.
if the share price doesn’t increase, I think we could be looking at the highest % dividend yield in asx history for a large cap (not that I have any idea what the current record is).
your analysis is more accurate and comprehensive. Another more simplistic demonstration of dividend firepower is as follows:
* cash on hand at end sept $3.4 billion
* debt repayment October $1.5 billion (us$1.0 billion)
* cash generation rate is $0.63 billion / month (based on 3rd quarter)
* total cash generation until final dividend payment at end April is $4.4 billion (7 months cash generation)
* so by End April next year approx $6.3 billion in cash will be available, less any taxes paid (noting debt of us$0.8 billion would still outstanding also - not sure if there are any early repayment restrictions on this remaining debt?)
*current market cap $7 billion
if the share price keeps falling, yal could pay out more than it’s market cap in dividends
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yancoal australia limited
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$5.84

YAL valuation and potential final dividend, page-5
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Last
$5.84 |
Change
-0.360(5.81%) |
Mkt cap ! $7.711B |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
$6.22 | $6.24 | $5.70 | $48.81M | 8.344M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
2 | 2343 | $5.83 |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
$5.85 | 23800 | 3 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
2 | 2343 | 5.830 |
5 | 17524 | 5.820 |
2 | 3981 | 5.810 |
10 | 42930 | 5.800 |
4 | 8306 | 5.790 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
5.850 | 23800 | 3 |
5.870 | 1000 | 1 |
5.900 | 11969 | 5 |
5.910 | 5992 | 2 |
5.920 | 9228 | 5 |
Last trade - 16.17pm 18/07/2025 (20 minute delay) ? |
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YAL (ASX) Chart |