Abujar Production Guidance

I start by saying I am an enthusiastic supporter of TIE, and a substantial holder.
In addition, I am heartened by a steadily improving production profile. TIE is definitely moving in the right direction.

However, I think their Production Guidance still leaves a lot to be desired. They constantly overestimate their production, and missing guidance consistently , scares off institutional investors and calls into question their technical competence.

Even recently, since the departure of MS and CW ( and their wildly over optimistic forecasts ) the guidance has been poor.

August 2023 - Diggers and Dealers - H2 2023 - 105-120 Koz at AISC US $875-975 oz
Sept 2023- Africa Down Under - H2 2023 - 75-85 K0z at AISC US $1175-1350 oz

Actual Production ; September Q 33753
October 12057

Meaning that to reach even the lower end of the most recent guidance , we need 29190 ozs over November and December.
Possible, but unlikely.
If TIE are going to convince potential investors of the worth of the company , they have to meet their own , self-imposed , targets.
Not wishful thinking.
Underpromise and overachieve. Not the reverse.

I suspect that again we will NOT make guidance by end December.
After nearly a year since first pour, that is a poor result.