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30/06/21
15:09
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Originally posted by Penny Pincher:
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Zippo I was merely applying your logic across to car manufacturing. You said that Norway was a BAD example for looking to good EV policy that encourages EV ownership for poor people, since it owed its prosperity to oil. You made it sound as if entities that owe historically owe their prosperity to fossil fuels are somehow in moral conflict or hypocritical when proposing solutions for the future. ICE car manufacturers also owe their prosperity to fossil fuel burning cars, so does that make them not suitable to look for EV solutions? It was a rethorical question As for spare parts, yes, as long as ICE car manufacturers do not go belly up in the transition, I am sure they will keep spare parts for a while to maintain their brands. You can be sure that a perverse effect of the EV transition will be that many old ICE cars will be driven well beyond what is currently the norm (think Cuba), as people will wait for EV prices to come down further, before taking the plunge. The questions are: 1.) Which ICE car makers will go belly up in the transition? 2.) How long will they maintain their spare parts supply, before they focus exclusively on their EVs (if they were greedy and believe they have brand loyalty, they might actually stop supplying old ICE parts hoping that it will push their customers to purchase new EVs rather than keep driving their old ICE cars) 3.) Any wild guess, which countries will become the new Cuba's - i.e. where the detrious of the ICE car era will be driven for decades longer than elsewhere in the world?
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I didn’t make it sound that way, that was just your interpretation or perhaps your angle to try and diminish my point that Norway has used its oil generated wealth to subsidise the take up of EV’s. I’m not knocking Norway, good for them but if a small population from a very wealthy country still needs to prop up EV’s to make them palatable to the population it does say a lot about the value of the EV’s. Obviously they are still overpriced for the perceived benefits of their citizens.