My company has the highest grade HPA project in Australia (private) the NPV on all these projects is 300-500 Million. Altech (the most advanced) has a capex of about 250 mil, so you can use that as an analogy. This is under the assumption that these project will produce 4000-10000 tonnes per year of 3-4N. The NPV will vary with grade and how simple (acid heavy) the process flow sheet is. So granted ADN can get to production (arrange plant and offtake) the MC will eventually be anywhere between 100-300+Mil.
What's the HPA project worth?, page-5
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