AMP 1.97% $1.16 amp limited

News: AMP Australia's AMP posts 53% rise in annual profit, page-26

  1. 16,697 Posts.
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    The result certainly looks like what the doctor ordered

    But just be careful of capitalising AMP Banks latest Reported Underlying NPAT number, because it includes release of a $26m credit loss provision which was raised during the onset of Covid.

    So the $153m NPAT number for AMP Banks should really be considered to be $127m on a normalised basis.

    But even eliminating that hollow-log, is still a very good result from AMP Bank.

    I think it could be worth $1.8bn.

    And more importantly, a good result from the jewel in the crown, AMP Capital, which I think is worth $3.0bn to $3.5bn

    So, those two alone are worth around $5.0bn

    This compares to the current Enterprise Value of the group of $4.8bn ($3.3bn Market Cap and $1.5bn Corporate Debt)

    Which means that the Australian and New Zealand Wealth Management businesses (which, net of all corporate overheads report, current NPAT of ~$50m pa) are being implicitly valued between minus $200m and $750m

    If one placed a modest 12x P/E multiple on that $50m number, and combined it with the ~$5.0bn value for AMP Bank and AMP Capital, you get a target price of $1.30 for the stock:


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    Last edited by madamswer: 10/02/22
 
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