AVZ 0.00% 78.0¢ avz minerals limited

AGM today, page-72

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    Hi guys

    I attended the AGM today and have some comments below.

    Please also read other commenters’ opinions and comments on the AGM and please DYOR as there is a good chance I could have skipped/misinterpreted a lot of stuff and is just my best opinion on today’s meeting based on what I think that I remember. Long comment coming up – so grab a coffee

    1/ Other documents and comments which might help

    Just a few documents which might help while reading about today’s meeting.

    AGM results
    https://hotcopper.com.au/threads/ann-annual-general-meeting-results.7093576/?post_id=64840042

    Presentation
    https://hotcopper.com.au/threads/ann-agm-presentation.7093441/?post_id=64838356

    Chairman address
    https://hotcopper.com.au/threads/ann-chairmans-address.7093438/?post_id=64838338

    2/ Basic info about meeting

    Hybrid meeting- physical location and online

    Meeting was quite professional with John Clarke chairing the meeting, and several people from management attending – Nigel, Graeme Johnston, Rhett Brans, Jager and Ben Cohen from memory.

    Around 50 to 60 shareholders were present. Meeting started at 2 pm

    Auditor Kris Nicolof from Hall Chadwick was also present

    3/ Chairman intro to company

    Hereon, I’ll mention what I remember. Clarke mentioned that speech released to ASX

    Claims have no legal basis
    Engaging with highest level in DRC
    Mining license catalyst to end suspension

    Thanks to Nigel and team for defending our asset

    4/ Resolutions

    Resolution go through

    5/ Presentation

    Formal part of meeting over by around 2:20 pm, and Nigel starts talking now with the AGM presentation (You might find it helpful to open the presentation document)

    Presentation very similar to recently circulated
    Only change in board is Huljich gone
    Balthazar co-ordinates with DRC government
    Cash is not an issue at present
    3 month rolling approval for budget
    Will cut down expenses later if required

    DFS is outdated with progress in lithium prices around 8800/tonne
    We have 75% ownership-can’t accept any nonsense. This is indisputable
    Mining license is main thing needed
    We need to convert resource to reserve
    $600 million or more will be capex in line with inflation
    Some equipment on site
    Mpiana Mwanga allocated to us despite rumours
    Monster of Manono asleep for now. Incredible strip ratio, clean product for battery
    Drilling concentrated at Roche Dure – clean product to drill
    Projected boundary more to south west
    Many drill holes. 4 drill rigs working 24/7
    Ore body close to surface
    Good boost to strip ratio and reserve and resource tonnes
    AVZ could have 20% market share of lithium demand in time to come

    6/ Ownership issues

    Not entertaining anything besides 75%
    ROFR on remaining
    10% will come from Cominiere
    66% at end after CATH deal
    CATH contribution of $240 million will rise to $400 million after their share of project funding
    66% will be our final and not 36% as some shorters say
    Minimum 51% if we don’t take extra 15%

    Ministerial decree came in May 2022
    Suspected short selling campaign. Went on suspension. We need to protect the company, our assets and our share value. Possible co-ordinated collusion against us in DRC
    Results fairly soon. We maintain it is 75%
    Jincheng has no legal rights
    We can defend Dathomir claim - very strongly positive for us. We’ve paid everything. They have no claim. Soon as cash in their bank, shares were released from escrow, they took action against us.

    7/ CATH and suspension

    Strong relation with CATH. Pei coming later.
    We’ll stay in suspension till mining license comes or shorters will aim to pull share price down

    8/ Relations

    Donations, medicines, funds etc to DRC

    9/ Mwian Mwanga

    We’ll fight tooth and nail to keep with us

    10/ Clean energy

    Looking for solar, turbine, biofuel etc and to get rid of diesel

    11/ Funding

    Cath funding is going to be there
    Pan African DFIs also have a large cheque book. Looking for mining license mainly
    600 million will be covered. Additional debt if needed

    12/ Offtakes

    Looking for geographical diversity too

    13/ Transport

    Export route and transport route – warm reception at Tanzania for holding bay. No issues at Dar as Salam

    14/ PLS

    PLS is higher value product. Less shipping needed as less waste
    6% product means 94% waste. Hoping for 94% PLS which means 6% waste for shipping to Europe
    SC6 to PLS ratio – 4 to 1 roughly

    15/ Optimisation

    We can comfortably expand. 10 million tonne study underway

    16/ Early works camp

    Camp works on and going well. Local products used. Disregard nonsense rumours going around of us spending very less. This is rubbish and we’ve spent lots on camp

    17/ Presentation takeaways

    We originally stated SC6 around 699 but it is now much more
    Co-ordination with highest level of DRC government
    Funding from Pan African DRIs
    Results fairly soon
    We maintain that holding is 75%.
    132 of 400 million resource is in reserves. We are keen to expand reserve with drilling
    Mainly keen on mining license


    Presentation discussion ended around 2:45 pm and now Q&A session starts below. I can’t remember exact questions but discussion surrounding questions is given below

    18/ Biofuel

    Potential for biofuel
    Inviting people to investigate
    Elephant grass also has potential
    Biofuel is reduction in diesel used

    19/ Studies

    Works managed with consultants and outsourced too and we are comfortable with them

    20/ Expand from 4.5 to 10 million tonnes

    If we can, then silly not too. We can ramp up over time. Plant and transport to be looked into

    21/ Claims might be spurious but we are still in 6 month suspension

    Main issue is ML.
    Lots of players in DRC
    President Felix has been ill advised about us that AVZ has no money and were not going to proceed
    Detractors continue to work in background
    Possible gambit by some Chinese players
    Several facets and progress being made slowly and steadily
    Possibly some collusion from some detractors


    22/ CDL 13359

    Someone said we did not work on northern portion. Drilling completed on CDL in mining license
    99% value to be in mining license. Legally, we own northern portion in our eyes. 15 km of pegmatites there

    23/ AJN northern part of CDL

    Premise is we retained northern portion

    24/ Is DFS delayed because of all this

    10 million DFS will come in good order. CATH keen on it. CATH is looking for 2 hydroxide plants and looking to be number 1 in China

    25/ AJN Nigel holding

    Nigel said he was director and bought it as a gold company. Found out about lithium and stepped down at once. Nigel bought as a gold company and not as lithium company and nothing to do with AVZ

    26/ Director insurance risen

    No claims against company. This is based on size of project and cost of doing business

    27/ 30 days after ministerial decree but we are way past 30 days

    This was misunderstanding. Minister did it in 30 days. CAMI has 5 days for invoice and then 2 weeks for payment, registration with RCCM etc. AVZ believe that CAMI illegally holding up

    28/ Aussie government support

    Yibin Tianyi deal knocked back long ago by Aussie government in national interest; so is there any support now?
    Answer is that all Chinese entities in register looked into. At that time, there was talk of some 19% holding and a board position.
    Now situation different.
    AVZ in in discussion with our ambassador based in Harare, Zimbabwe and she is doing what she can do.

    29/ Confidence in high level support in DRC

    Would be surprised if nothing changes. More confident now than earlier

    30/ Equipment

    Not as yet. Comes down to size. Need to finalise first whether 4.5 million tonnes or 10 million tonnes and then long lead items. Mindful of it

    31/ Tribal situation or something else?

    Not a tribal situation but opportunists. Think we are just about there and they will be taken care of

    32/ ETA for mining license

    ETA TBA .......

    33/ Contingency plan if Zijin and Dathomir situation does not go in our favour

    We won’t entertain.. Adamant that we own 75% and then right to 15% more. CATH want product mainly and are flexible about holding %

    34/ ICC blush moment

    100% confident will be turned over. Proceedings will be non confidential and expecting a blush moment for some people. Some people might be recalled to China

    35/ DRC opinion on China

    Some backlash now and some local jobs being lost to expatriates

    36/ Civil society opinion on AVZ

    Several in Manono hand to mouth and they see AVZ as catalyst for future jobs and progress etc. Civil society is behind us

    Online questions start now

    37 / Roche dure drilling timeline

    Program timeline is March
    2/3 rd way through now and drilling till Jan-Feb and then assay
    Plan to get reserve from 132 million tonnes to 300 million tonnes reserves to underpin study for 30 years

    38/ How long to building 10 million tonne plant

    2 year process

    39/ DRC view on export

    Some issues on export from DRC for mainly copper. DRC wants more value addition on site. AVZ already mindful of it and already aiming for PLS rather than SC6 (Refer an earlier comment on PLS vs SCL, waste, etc)

    40 / Battery SEZ Zambia

    Discussion with Zambia, etc. Want to supply facility if we can. Working in background

    41/ Boots on ground

    Yes for pre site works. After license, we move forward further

    42/ Activity on social media

    AVZ has no comment and no need to air dirty laundry. We’ll stick to facts and we’ll have to live with that till license. There could be fireworks down the line

    Floor question asked again now-

    43/ When will AVZ be in production

    24 months to get to production
    Will crack whip on engineers
    Mid 2024 if we get license quickly, etc

    44/ Conclusions

    Please DYOR and note that there could be several mistakes above and I could have heard a lot wrong. I’m only sharing my own notes / bullet points based on what I think I heard and these should not be relied for any of your investment decisions. Please refer comments by other commenters for full info

    Also note that above points were less of my opinion but more of what I think I heard. Some of my own takeaways from all above are below -

    Meeting was quite amicable. There we no torches or pitchforks

    Major takeaway is that suspension is mainly for mining license and not Zijin, Dathomir cases etc
    AVZ is obviously pursuing all these matters but mining license could be the main catalyst to come out of suspension

    AVZ is also not just sitting on these issues and doing nothing else. The goal seems to be to move towards 10 million production and significantly moving resource to reserves to expand reserve, and be a major player in the lithium market

    Eventual DFS could be amazing with expanded production, new lithium prices etc.

    Not just our coming out of suspension but also production timeline seems to be also dependent on mining license

    CATH seem pretty supportive overall

    Cheers
 
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