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Choose your own adventure - I failed maths in high school and pick dud stocks!!!!!, page-2

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gonegassed

13,783 Posts.

26/08/14

13:10

Post #: 13873164

Originally posted by leec ↑

Scenarios liable to be wrong and not to be relied upon.

Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 Column 4 Column 5 Column 6 Column 7 Column 8 Column 9

1 TIGER SCENARIOS

2 60,000.00 60,000.00 60,000.00 60,000.00 60,000.00 Max tonnes (after Phase 2 completion)

3 2,200.00 2,200.00 2,200.00 2,200.00 2,200.00 lbs per tonne

4 132,000,000.00 132,000,000.00 132,000,000.00 132,000,000.00 132,000,000.00 lbs per annum production

5 3.00 3.25 3.50 3.75 4.00 Copper Price

6 1.04 1.04 1.04 1.04 1.04 Cost per lb LOM

7 1.96 2.21 2.46 2.71 2.96

8 258,720,000.00 291,720,000.00 324,720,000.00 357,720,000.00 390,720,000.00 Free Cash after LOM costs

9 155,232,000.00 175,032,000.00 194,832,000.00 214,632,000.00 234,432,000.00 TGS Share @ 60%

10 181,104,000.00 204,204,000.00 227,304,000.00 250,404,000.00 273,504,000.00 TGS Share @ 70%

11 206,976,000.00 233,376,000.00 259,776,000.00 286,176,000.00 312,576,000.00 TGS Share @ 80%

12 232,848,000.00 262,548,000.00 292,248,000.00 321,948,000.00 351,648,000.00 TGS Share @ 90%

13 245,784,000.00 277,134,000.00 308,484,000.00 339,834,000.00 371,184,000.00 TGS Share @ 95%

14 258,720,000.00 291,720,000.00 324,720,000.00 357,720,000.00 390,720,000.00 TGS Share @ 100%

15 Spot Price $3.00 Spot Price $3.25 Spot Price $3.50 Spot Price $3.75 Spot Price $4.00

16 Share Price 0.78 0.88 0.97 1.07 1.17 TGS Share @ 60% 4.5 P/E

17 Share Price 0.91 1.02 1.14 1.25 1.37 TGS Share @ 70% 4.5 P/E

18 Share Price 1.03 1.17 1.30 1.43 1.56 TGS Share @ 80% 4.5 P/E

19 Share Price 1.16 1.31 1.46 1.61 1.76 TGS Share @ 90% 4.5 P/E

20 Share Price 1.23 1.39 1.54 1.70 1.86 TGS Share @ 95% 4.5 P/E

21 Share Price 1.29 1.46 1.62 1.79 1.95 TGS Share @ 100% 4.5 P/E

22 Spot Price $3.00 Spot Price $3.25 Spot Price $3.50 Spot Price $3.75 Spot Price $4.00

23 Share Price 0.86 0.97 1.08 1.19 1.30 TGS Share @ 60% 5 P/E

24 Share Price 1.01 1.13 1.26 1.39 1.52 TGS Share @ 70% 5 P/E

25 Share Price 1.15 1.30 1.44 1.59 1.74 TGS Share @ 80% 5 P/E

26 Share Price 1.29 1.46 1.62 1.79 1.95 TGS Share @ 90% 5 P/E

27 Share Price 1.37 1.54 1.71 1.89 2.06 TGS Share @ 95% 5 P/E

28 Share Price 1.44 1.62 1.80 1.99 2.17 TGS Share @ 100% 5 P/E

29 Spot Price $3.00 Spot Price $3.25 Spot Price $3.50 Spot Price $3.75 Spot Price $4.00

30 Share Price 0.95 1.07 1.19 1.31 1.43 TGS Share @ 60% 5.5 P/E

31 Share Price 1.11 1.25 1.39 1.53 1.67 TGS Share @ 70% 5.5 P/E

32 Share Price 1.26 1.43 1.59 1.75 1.91 TGS Share @ 80% 5.5 P/E

33 Share Price 1.42 1.60 1.79 1.97 2.15 TGS Share @ 90% 5.5 P/E

34 Share Price 1.50 1.69 1.89 2.08 2.27 TGS Share @ 95% 5.5 P/E

35 Share Price 1.58 1.78 1.98 2.19 2.39 TGS Share @ 100% 5.5 P/E

36 Spot Price $3.00 Spot Price $3.25 Spot Price $3.50 Spot Price $3.75 Spot Price $4.00

37 Share Price 1.03 1.17 1.30 1.43 1.56 TGS Share @ 60% 6 P/E

38 Share Price 1.21 1.36 1.52 1.67 1.82 TGS Share @ 70% 6 P/E

39 Share Price 1.38 1.56 1.73 1.91 2.08 TGS Share @ 80% 6 P/E

40 Share Price 1.55 1.75 1.95 2.15 2.34 TGS Share @ 90% 6 P/E

41 Share Price 1.64 1.85 2.06 2.27 2.47 TGS Share @ 95% 6 P/E

42 Share Price 1.72 1.94 2.16 2.38 2.60 TGS Share @ 100% 6 P/E

43 Spot Price $3.00 Spot Price $3.25 Spot Price $3.50 Spot Price $3.75 Spot Price $4.00

44 Share Price 1.12 1.26 1.41 1.55 1.69 TGS Share @ 60% 6.5 P/E

45 Share Price 1.31 1.47 1.64 1.81 1.98 TGS Share @ 70% 6.5 P/E

46 Share Price 1.49 1.69 1.88 2.07 2.26 TGS Share @ 80% 6.5 P/E

47 Share Price 1.68 1.90 2.11 2.33 2.54 TGS Share @ 90% 6.5 P/E

48 Share Price 1.78 2.00 2.23 2.45 2.68 TGS Share @ 95% 6.5 P/E

49 Share Price 1.87 2.11 2.35 2.58 2.82 TGS Share @ 100% 6.5 P/E

50 Spot Price $3.00 Spot Price $3.25 Spot Price $3.50 Spot Price $3.75 Spot Price $4.00

51 Share Price 1.21 1.36 1.52 1.67 1.82 TGS Share @ 60% 7 P/E

52 Share Price 1.41 1.59 1.77 1.95 2.13 TGS Share @ 70% 7 P/E

53 Share Price 1.61 1.82 2.02 2.23 2.43 TGS Share @ 80% 7 P/E

54 Share Price 1.81 2.04 2.27 2.50 2.74 TGS Share @ 90% 7 P/E

55 Share Price 1.91 2.16 2.40 2.64 2.89 TGS Share @ 95% 7 P/E

56 Share Price 2.01 2.27 2.53 2.78 3.04 TGS Share @ 100% 7 P/E

57 Spot Price $3.00 Spot Price $3.25 Spot Price $3.50 Spot Price $3.75 Spot Price $4.00

58 Share Price 1.29 1.46 1.62 1.79 1.95 TGS Share @ 60% 7.5 P/E

59 Share Price 1.51 1.70 1.89 2.09 2.28 TGS Share @ 70% 7.5 P/E

60 Share Price 1.72 1.94 2.16 2.38 2.60 TGS Share @ 80% 7.5 P/E

61 Share Price 1.94 2.19 2.44 2.68 2.93 TGS Share @ 90% 7.5 P/E

62 Share Price 2.05 2.31 2.57 2.83 3.09 TGS Share @ 95% 7.5 P/E

63 Share Price 2.16 2.43 2.71 2.98 3.26 TGS Share @ 100% 7.5 P/E

64 Spot Price $3.00 Spot Price $3.25 Spot Price $3.50 Spot Price $3.75 Spot Price $4.00

65 Share Price 1.38 1.56 1.73 1.91 2.08 TGS Share @ 60% 8 P/E

66 Share Price 1.61 1.82 2.02 2.23 2.43 TGS Share @ 70% 8 P/E

67 Share Price 1.84 2.07 2.31 2.54 2.78 TGS Share @ 80% 8 P/E

68 Share Price 2.07 2.33 2.60 2.86 3.13 TGS Share @ 90% 8 P/E

69 Share Price 2.18 2.46 2.74 3.02 3.30 TGS Share @ 95% 8 P/E

70 Share Price 2.30 2.59 2.89 3.18 3.47 TGS Share @ 100% 8 P/E

Expand

Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 Column 4 Column 5 Column 6 Column 7 Column 8 Column 9

0 Share Price 2.30 2.59 2.89 3.18 3.47 TGS Share @ 100% 8 P/E

2.60 looks right to me .. with copper at $3.30 soon (3.24 today)
with reserves 100% owned
a p/e x 8 looks like a fair target ... should be fun watching TGS get there over the next 2 years time ..

TGS Price at posting: 30.0¢ Sentiment: Buy Disclosure: Held

0 Great analysis

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