ADN 13.3% 1.7¢ andromeda metals limited

Ann: Andromeda and Minotaur to Combine, page-320

  1. 57 Posts.
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    Just quickly re-worked some previous analysis I posted over at MEP, assumptions used can be found here.

    The "Pre-Acquisition" table uses ADN's current fully diluted SOI and a 75% share of NPAT.

    The "Post-Acquisition" table adds MEP's current SOI (multiplied by 1.15) and increases ADN's share of NPAT to 100%.

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/3782/3782038-9dffd1034f9931692cc65b35802a852c.jpg

    IMO this analysis is quite conservative as it does not include any upside from DSO/Cosmetics/Concrete/HPA/NNT/Deferred tax assets etc, although I believe this will help justify a higher PE.

    As a base case, we can see that the acquisition of MEP adds ~ 9% upside to the Pre-Acquisition share price.

    The downside to be considered is that ADN have now diluted all other tenements/holdings apart from GW, Camel Lake and NNT. Although, depending on how much of the current market cap is attributed to these other tenements/holdings, this may not be a significant share price driver.

    **DYOR
 
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