We have the 200 MA on Daily at $1.36. So could drop down there...

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    We have the 200 MA on Daily at $1.36. So could drop down there before stabilizing. $1.40 is strong support though.

    A 35% drop didn't seem possible 2 weeks ago, so anything is possible really. Under $1 seems a bit far fetched though.

    Not sure how heavy the ASIC penalties will be. The max penalty is $15M or 10% of annual turnover, but that's an extreme scenario. But ASIC is ruthless and can go to any lengths, hence Nuix spared no money in fighting the litigation.

    As a reference, recently ANZ got penalised $900k on disclosure failure for $3B placement. So I feel Nuix's penalty will be well under $1M. But then again, spending $10M to fight a penalty of $1M seems unreasonable.

    It could be that ASIC's attitude of 'Why not Litigate' is the killer here as they just went on that path without any arbitration. It's taxpayers money, so ASIC doesn't give a rat's ass about it.

    My intuition says Nuix will win the lawsuit and we will touch $2.50-$3 within a few days from there on.

    It does feel like some big holder drip-exiting. Not sure if they are substantial holders as we havent got any notice yet. Surely they must've accumulated from sub 80s to afford such elaborate sell-down.

    All in the opinion of some random idiot on HC, ME!

 
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