ADN 11.1% 1.6¢ andromeda metals limited

Ann: 2023 Definitive Feasibility Study Results, page-199

  1. 157 Posts.
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    I wasn't going to comment as I don't really know enough about the company.
    However, skimming over the DFS a few things stood out which will keep me from looking further.

    Is the NPV based on 28years at a discount rate of 8%?
    If so, that is concerning.

    Take that back to 20 years and the NPV would look vastly different.
    Although reports normally come out at 8-10% discount. Financiers need around 20%.
    I personally always rework the numbers to 20% and 20 years max.

    On top of that, as a few said it doesn't give the breakdown for each stage.
    What is the NPV of stage 1 alone? That is where the project currently is and what needs funding.
    Those concerns above will result in nowhere near a 1bn NPV.

    The 5 year payback is a long time and another concern.
    Positive is the low CAPEX which gives multiple options to get funded.

    Overall, I don't see any value in a 100m market cap with a quick skim at the numbers.
    It looks like it will take a long time when in production to expand the project to get some decent gains.
    Wish holders the best, but personally its not enticing for me.
 
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