I wasn't going to comment as I don't really know enough about the company.
However, skimming over the DFS a few things stood out which will keep me from looking further.
Is the NPV based on 28years at a discount rate of 8%?
If so, that is concerning.
Take that back to 20 years and the NPV would look vastly different.
Although reports normally come out at 8-10% discount. Financiers need around 20%.
I personally always rework the numbers to 20% and 20 years max.
On top of that, as a few said it doesn't give the breakdown for each stage.
What is the NPV of stage 1 alone? That is where the project currently is and what needs funding.
Those concerns above will result in nowhere near a 1bn NPV.
The 5 year payback is a long time and another concern.
Positive is the low CAPEX which gives multiple options to get funded.
Overall, I don't see any value in a 100m market cap with a quick skim at the numbers.
It looks like it will take a long time when in production to expand the project to get some decent gains.
Wish holders the best, but personally its not enticing for me.
- Forums
- ASX - By Stock
- ADN
- Ann: 2023 Definitive Feasibility Study Results
Ann: 2023 Definitive Feasibility Study Results, page-199
-
- There are more pages in this discussion • 132 more messages in this thread...
You’re viewing a single post only. To view the entire thread just sign in or Join Now (FREE)
Featured News
Add ADN (ASX) to my watchlist
|
|||||
Last
1.6¢ |
Change
-0.002(11.1%) |
Mkt cap ! $49.76M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
1.8¢ | 1.8¢ | 1.5¢ | $797.4K | 49.05M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
7 | 2397883 | 1.6¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
1.7¢ | 2031381 | 4 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
7 | 2397883 | 0.016 |
24 | 9645610 | 0.015 |
8 | 1742049 | 0.014 |
5 | 2448080 | 0.013 |
6 | 1603342 | 0.012 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.017 | 2031381 | 4 |
0.018 | 3422694 | 13 |
0.019 | 3659762 | 9 |
0.020 | 1439444 | 12 |
0.021 | 1280000 | 3 |
Last trade - 16.10pm 28/06/2024 (20 minute delay) ? |
Featured News
ADN (ASX) Chart |
The Watchlist
LU7
LITHIUM UNIVERSE LIMITED
Alex Hanly, CEO
Alex Hanly
CEO
SPONSORED BY The Market Online