ANG 0.75% 66.0¢ austin engineering limited

Ann: Becoming a substantial holder, page-12

  1. 16,697 Posts.
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    "I really couldn't be bothered to rehash all my umpteen previous posts on valuation so go check them."

    I'll take that as a euphemism for: "Actually, I haven't really done the work; I'm just winging it. Again. In the typical stockbroker fashion."

    On the other hand, I'm not scared to offer my valuation calculations:

    At the current share price, ANG's EV is $130m.
    A fair EV/EBITDA multiple for a business like ANG is, I believe, between 5.5x and 6.0x EV/EBITDA (which corresponds, respectively, to P/E multiples of 15x and 18x).

    At the generous upper value of 6x EV/EBITDA (i.e., 18x P/E), that implies a required EBITDA run-rate of $22m pa. This compares to current EBITDA run rate of less than $1.0m pa.

    That's a massive turnaround required in fortunes.

    So, I dunno so much.
    On those numbers, the stock doesn't strike me as being that cheap.

    Where do you think I might be wrong?
 
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66.0¢
Change
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Mkt cap ! $387.1M
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66.5¢ 66.5¢ 65.0¢ $410.9K 625.0K

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1 4575 65.5¢
 

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66.5¢ 54397 2
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