ARI 0.00% 2.2¢ a.c.n. 004 410 833 limited

Arrium is the cheapest Iron Ore producer after RIO and BHP.

  1. 169 Posts.
    Looking at the FY14 numbers and using the 'Underlying EBITDA' to calculate Cost of Goods sold.

    It seems Arrium is the cheapest Iron ore producer after RIO and BHP.

    FMG numbers are in AU$ using a exchange rate of 0.93

    Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 Column 4
    0   ARI FMG AGO
    1 AUDUSD   0.93  
    2 Revenue 1569 12638 1098
    3 EBITDA 686 6060 248
    4 Cost of Goods sold (calc: Revenue - EBITDA) 883 6577 850
    5 Tonnes 12.93 124.2 10.9
    6 Calculated cost / tonne AU$
    (Calc : COGS / tonnes)
    68.3 56.9 78.0
    7        
    8 62% price FY14 AU$ 133 133 133
    9 Calculated Sold At or Realised Price  (Calc : Revenue / tonnes) 121 102 101
    10 Discount to 62% Price 91.2% 77% 76%
    11        
    12 Profit Per tonne 53 45 23


    I have included  'Pellets, other ore & by products' (0.43Mt) in Arrium tonnes (12.5 + 0.43 = 12.93) as I assume FMG and AGO include this in their total tonnes. It doesn't change the conclusion/outcome if you don't. Using 12.50 tonnes just increases Cost / tonne to $70.60 (from $68.30) and increases Profit / tonne to $55 (from $53).

    The writer implies no investment recommendation. This report contains material speculative in nature. Investors should seek professional investment advice. The writer owns shares in Arrium.
 
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