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Cyclone season has already started., page-59

  1. 64 Posts.
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    Hi Go Bris,

    Check out the below from BOM, which should make you feel a bit better.

    FYI - Broome to PLS site is approx. 700 k.s a long distance for a cyclone @ 12ks an hour to get to and like an asthmatic marathon runner, it looks like it will run out of puff long before getting to the finish line ;-)
    Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region

    IDW10800
    Updated Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region

    Issued at 6:44 am WST on Thursday 28 December 2017
    for the period until midnight WST Saturday 30 December 2017.
    Existing Cyclones in the Western Region:

    Tropical Cyclone Hilda at 5am WST Thursday 28 December was located near 19.1S 121.7E, about 140 kilometres south southwest of Broome and moving south southwest 12 kilometres per hour. Refer to the latest tropical cyclone warnings for further details [www.bom.gov.au/cyclone].

    The system is likely to weaken below tropical cyclone strength today as it moves further inland. There is a slight chance it takes a more westward track over water and may still be a tropical cyclone early Friday morning before heading back over land.
    Likelihood of this system remaining a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:

    Thursday:
    High
    Friday:
    Low
    Saturday:
    Very Low
    Potential Cyclones:


    There are no other significant lows in the Western Region at present and none are expected to develop over the next three days.

    Likelihood of another system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:

    Thursday:
    Very Low
    Friday:
    Very Low
    Saturday:
    Very Low



    NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
    Very Low:
    less than 5%
    Low:
    5% to 20%
    Moderate:
    20 to 50%
    High:
    Over 50%
    The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and south of 10S.
    Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/
 
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